Re: Friedman's Gonna Hit One (1077 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: April 18, 2009 03:48PM
Jimbo--
1-- If I didn't like the first two favorites, or if the favorite I'm throwing out is 3/5, I might go 4 deep.
2-- I actually like the longshot he didn't use more than the slow one he did use. I can't see using that one at all.
3-- On his picks, it's really worse than that, because he spreads so much (a few weeks ago he said because his pick was going to be odds-on he would only use it "mainly" on top). That means his return on any one he actually "hits" will be diluted-- he probably has to hit one out of three to break even.
4-- Betting strategy aside, Len is a very good handicapper, that's not his problem. The problem is the data-- prime example being the McGlaughlin filly that won last week. On TG she was off a pair and definitely better than even money to win the race-- on Rag she was off a big new top, according to what Len wrote.
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