I've learned the hard way to be very careful about betting two year olds this time of year. I don't trust off tracks at Keeneland and I put very little stock into the times and figures from them, especially at less than six furlongs. I figured Heckles race was counterfeit or if true a bounce to oblivion was possible, especially in consideration of the quick come back. He'd only gone a flat 22 to get a two length lead and I knew that was on a track that carried him. You don't set track records on average surfaces. I figured his real speed was probably around 22:2 and figured switching over to Churchill he would have to dig deeper to get a 22 and that might not carry him to the front with winners on Churchills surface, contemplating that if headed he may cave, which is commonly the case with speedball 2 year olds. If he was exceptional I dont think you run a tough stablemate at him either. Don't you separate sluggers until the championship?

I keyed Limehouse as my winner. I liked his close, his post and final time of 52 for the previous race. I think it was second fastest behind Heckle's wet track 51 and I liked the additional sixteenth to be run on Derby day. I saw El Sysco Kid's lasix, nice work pattern and good last workout. It looked as good as Heckle had ever worked and I put him in underneath. I had P.Day's horse in my tri as well. 60% of my bet was to win on Limehouse.

If you get a coup again. I'd suggest considering that the fields in these races are generally small. I found it's not worth the risk of losing to skip the "All" button, especially in third or fourth. These races are also risky cause other good ones will be entered many times. I had a really solid tip on a Crusader Sword once. Guess who he ran into in his first race? Holy Bull....lol

Strange things happen in these races.

Tabi