I'm not sure what everyone sees in E.M.inem that makes them think he's gonna relish 12 marks. He was struggling at the end of both the Wood and the Derby. Maybe he got the 9 marks in the Florida Derby, but he beat nothing and thats a carrying track. He's breeding is solid but I see it as weakening the further he goes. The biggest factor that I can see for projecting E.M.inem into the Belmont winner's circle picture is the absolute confidence that Frankel has had in this horse. He said he'd win the Derby, he says he has the best horse. Betting Frankel is not a bad angle recently, but generally you'll go broke betting what trainers think. When they really got a good bet going they say nothing. I much prefer a quiet trainer I respect on ability. Now I admit E.M. has had some nice numbers and is liable to get a somewhat better trip today, but you can't view numbers in a vacuum. I make E.M.inem's chances to win the race at about 10%. The reason is if Funny doesn't win, E.M.inem isn't my horse most likely to pick up the pieces.

If E.M.inem does win, I go home a big loser.

lol

CtC