*** Three weeks ago I posted that Mineshaft was a bet against due to his post , weight and 3 neg figs in a row .He then ran TG's best ever # - and lost.
In for a buck and a bundle - I'll take another shot against him today . An additional negative that I see besides the possibility of a moon-shot bounce ,is the rail draw . At this distance at Belmont the starting gate is on the clubhouse turn - so it may be somewhat difficult to get a good position from the fence .
I think Volponi is the key horse to hit the exacta . He has the line of a good healthy horse , and with the addition of blinkers he should fire his best today .
Hero's Tribute will be a price off his last . The horse seems to have a history of gate reluctance and bad starts , save the last bad one he looks solid .
Until Harlan's Holiday shows something postive , he is a bet against as horses can take awhile to recover from the Dubai experience.
Frankel usually moves up lightly raced horses with some scope for improvement . Dollar Bill is a bet against . If he wins - I swear a blood-oath to blindly bet Frankel in every Grade 1 going forward.
Volponi may rate a win bet at 3-1 - but the key play is a prime exacta box of Hero's Tribute and Volponi - savers are Volponi with Judge's Case and Evening Attire .bj