It would be a great betting race if Yell scratched. The best reason I could come up with for betting that she will run worse than 2nd is Shug's record shipping to CD since Personal Ensign. Of course, perhaps no reason is necessary for a deep closer breaking from an outside post which will probably go off an even money or less.

I agree Trusty Cat is live & I intend to use her, but doesn't she have even more of a tendency to run wide than Lakenheath? The one major disagreement I have with the analysis is re the chances of Salzurita, my exotics key at what I'm hoping will be more than than the 15-1 ML. CD is the kind of track some horses simply cannot handle, and one turn mile races out of the chute are something of a speciality. Salzurita earned her top in a fast paced one mile race at CD, & I think showed versatiliy & increased maturity in her 2 Mnr wins. The only thing that has me wondering is the lack of any published works for more than a month for Murty, a subject I plan to investigate as soon as I am done typing this. Good Luck.