Figure-based curiosity... (742 Views)
Posted by:
JohnTChance (IP Logged)
Date: February 20, 2004 04:36PM
Reference is made to GRAND PIANO, who was entered in
Gulfstream's 5th race on Monday.
Trainer Peter Walder does well when he uses "go-to" jockey
John Velasquez. Specifically, the stats of that trainer-jockey
combo are:
96 starts - 28% wins - 64% in-the-money. Fine.
Curious then, that the TG FIGURE-BASED stats of the combo
tell something of a different story:
32 starts - only 6% top! - 22% pair - 47% off race
Now... it seems to me, that in many of the Walder - Velasquez
pairings, their mount is the overwhelming 4-5 favorite who merely
has to repeat or pair-up their last race to win, and Walder is just
dropping to win a purse.
Nevertheless, it begs the questions: Aren't we missing a a simple
needed figure-based category here? Does Walder's horses tend to
MOVE FORWARD when he goes to John Velasquez? [Or not?]
That is, MOVE FORWARD (NOT NECESSARILY A TOP). [The
situation might involve an older horse whose "top" was three years
ago - something that's now out of reach for the animal. But I STILL
want to know merely whether the combo tends to yield a FORWARD
MOVE.
I hope I'm making sense here. Raise your hand if I'm not.
Any feedback welcome. The figure-based stats continue
to intrigue.
JohnTChance
Figure-based curiosity... (742 Views) |
JohnTChance |
02/20/2004 04:36PM |
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