Your Ask The Experts ID
is separate from your
Order Online Account ID
 Race of the Week:  The Modesty Stakes Churchill May 3, 2024  • 2 Specials Available
Order Online
Buy TG Data
Complete Menu of
TG Data products
Simulcast Books
Customize a Value
Package of Select
TG Data
Sheet Requests
Order The Last Figure for Any Horse
Free Products
Redboard Room
Download and Review previous days' data.
Race of the Week
With detailed comments
ThoroTrack
Email notification when your horse races
Information
Introduction
For newcomers.
Samples and Tutorials
For Horsemen
Consulting services and Graph Racing
Sales Sites
Where to buy TG around the country
Archives
Historical races and handicapping articles
Handicapping
Hall of Fame
Major handicapping contest winners
Home Page
Pair-up and off race: FARNUM ALLEY... (805 Views)
Posted by: JohnTChance (IP Logged)
Date: March 17, 2004 04:52PM

The Florida Derby changed a lot when Frankel's MASTER DAVID dropped
out of the race. Was it to be his coronation? Like Frankel's EMPIRE MAKER
in last year's event? We'll never know. In any case, his defection made the
race an interesting bet. Here's my sad story.

I'm an enthusiast in the explosive potential of the ThoroGraph pattern
consisting of a "pair-up" followed by an "off" race, especially in young,
developing horses. Among the many subtle variations of this pattern,
there was trainer Anthony Reinstedler's entry in the Florida Derby,
FARNUM ALLEY, a Distorted Humor colt who went off at 59-1.

I thought FA's 17... 8... 8... 10... was, to an extent, explosive. I didn't think
he'd move forward enough to win or even be second. So, at his huge
odds, fueled even further by my dislike of the even-money favorite, my
play was to selectively back-key him in 3rd in trifectas, and in 4th in
superfectas. To my delight, FARNUM ALLEY surely delivered the markedly
improved performance I hoped he'd deliver. [A 5-ish?] But to my dismay and
frustration, he missed finishing 4th by an eyelash to the tiring even-money
favorite, READ THE FOOTNOTES. Had FARNUM ALLEY another two inches
of oomph in him, my $1 superfecta would've been worth 10k or so. More?
In any case, like Ralph Kramden used to say on the Honeymooners,
I would've been in pizza for the rest of my life. A tough beat.

JohnTChance




Subject Written By Posted
Pair-up and off race: FARNUM ALLEY... (805 Views) JohnTChance 03/17/2004 04:52PM
Re: Pair-up and off race: FARNUM ALLEY... (554 Views) TGJB 03/17/2004 05:24PM
Re: Pair-up and off race: FARNUM ALLEY... (485 Views) jbelfior 03/18/2004 09:32AM


Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.
This forum powered by Phorum.

Thoro-Graph 180 Varick Street New York, NY 10014 ---- Click here for the Ask The Experts Archives.