Re: 3yo Futures (610 Views)
Posted by:
derby1592 (IP Logged)
Date: March 30, 2004 07:55PM
Now you definitely have my interest and I really want to see the latest sheets.
I am hoping that you are hinting at St. Averil since he is the only horse I played in Future Book 2 based on my guess that he probably ran a buried big fig in the losing San Felipe effort (giving 6 lbs to the winner along with a wide trip) off an almost perfect Derby line heading into the race (lightly raced, fast, but not-too-fast late 2 and early 3, with a nice March jump to a new top that makes him fast enough to be a Derby contender). Assuming he did run a big fig in the San Felipe and can pair it up in the SA Derby, he would definitely have a very nice line heading into the Derby.
I did not think St. Averil was necessarily a super value at a little less than 20/1 but probably the most likely Derby winner at that time (probably still is) and I figured he might actually end up going off as the Derby favorite if he won the SA Derby so it was worth taking a shot at the odds (he was 23/1 just before I played him about an hour before the pool closed).
Chris
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