MO it may be that you have insight into the IL Derby that I don't, but from what I can see White Mountain is not a committed front runner. He's breaking from outside and hes got Pollard's Vision, Suave and Song of the Sword..who all have some speed inside of him. He's gonna have to really juice it or get caught wide. He did toss a :47 half at them last and thats about as fast as he's paced goin two turns. I like the fact he likes to win and he fought in that Battaglia. He did have to go wide there and its obvious that Silver Minister didn't fire last and Little Matth is not a half bad horse. I'm just not sure about your pace analysis. It could happen. His connections may decide to send him. If they are committed to the front he probably has enough speed to take the lead. I guess the question is at what cost. Maybe on TGraphs hes super competitive with the wide trips factored. He's gonna have to avoid one Saturday. I think he's giving five pounds each to the three inside as well. He is a Michael Gil horse. I'll try and post again pre race I'm still looking at this one.