TGJB Wrote:
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> You didn't say it, Rick basically did.

I don't see it as a binary decision: "Follow the public
- or - toss a favorite I don't like."

First of all, no one that has been in this game more than
5 minutes (and has been paying attention) would look at the
Brown horse the way Joe B did, and assume that the pp's
we saw from the Euro races were in any way representative
of what we would see in yesterday's race.

It's no secret that Euros generally improve -- some, by
ALOT -- with first time Lasix. Add in the connections, and
I don't care whether you liked the horse or not -- the only
sensible choices were to use the Brown horse, or pass the race.

Second, throwing out the favorite for any reason is something
I find the TG analysts are far too willing to do, in spite of
the long-term average of favorites hitting the exacta ~50%
of the time. That is a serious disadvantage you guys are
putting yourselves (and your customers) at, and for what? To
save a few betting dollars? Nobody using TG is that hard up,
so I write it off as hubris: "I can beat that stinky old
favorite anytime I want!"

Am I way off here? I want to beat the favorite as much as
anyone else, I promise, but that 50% number demands some
respect IMO.