Assuming that Value Plus and St. Averil don't go in the Derby. It looks like Eddington will need two more defections to get in if you believe the numbers at KD.com.

18. Value Plus $252,500
19. St Averil $215,200
20. Master David $208,000
21. Preachinatthebar $159,000
22. Saratoga County $156,500
23. Song of the Sword $132,500
24. Pro Prado $105,685
25. Pomeroy $96,250
26. Eddington $95,000
27. Rock Hard Ten $90,000
28. Skipaslew $70,000

I think that Saratoga County is out. Song of the Sword is going for sure, unfortunately. I don't think Pomeroy is going so that leaves Pro Prado next and then Eddington.

What morning will Zito figure out that running Birdstone in the Derby is insane. Hopefully it will be the same morning that Mandella figures out the same holds true for Action This Day.

I would say it is 50/50 he gets in. I also have a future wager in the balance. Glad I didn't bet more then I did.