Re: ROTW (701 Views)
Posted by:
ringato3 (IP Logged)
Date: June 20, 2015 10:10AM
I guess at 8-1, I can't strongly disagree with Tencendur being value, but Frosted has come back and ran an OK Derby and an OK Belmont. I, for one, am starting to question the negative 2 he got in the wood, which would also make Tencendur not as fast in this race. even if I believe the Tencendur figure, one could take it as aberrational.
Divining Rod has run very well this year. I believe his Preakness was even a bit better than the figure suggests. He made a menacing move at the Triple Crown winner around the turn and for a brief second looked like he would challenge. Pharaoh broke his heart and scooted away, and then the longshot sucked for second, but I think Divining Rod ran a race that beats this group.
Very hard for me to guesstimate at "off odds" here, especially if it rains. But if Rod isn't the favorite and is 4-1ish, he looks like a standout play to me.
Good luck,
Rob