Re: frosted or fraudsted? (581 Views)
Posted by:
P-Dub (IP Logged)
Date: August 29, 2015 08:03PM
I was out this afternoon, just watched the race.
JB says it all the time. They may look great galloping, they may look great in workouts. The stress of a race is when you find out how taxing previous efforts were and what the effect is. It would appear that the 3 week turn around, combined with the constant shipping, took a little starch out of AP today.
I think Baffert knew this, which is why he was so hesitant to run him. If Zayat didn't want to run there so badly, I'm not so sure he runs today.
I agree with Miff a lot, but disagree here. The pace, or any part of the race where AP was contested, didn't have as much to do with that performance. The quick turnaround off the huge effort played a major role. They went 1.11 and change, if he didn't want to be hooked by Frosted then go in 1.10 and change. He couldn't do that.
Its easier to ship East Coast based horses around, the travel isn't as extreme. Shipping from a NYRA track to Monmouth/Parx/CD isn't the same as shipping a horse from California clear across the country.
I give AP credit for digging in down the stretch, thought he showed a lot of heart today.
Texas Red was disappointing today, that was a putrid performance.
Congrats to Keen Ice, running late is his style and if the leaders backed up makes sense that he was the one to run them down.
What now? Does he run in 4 weeks at SA, then run 5 weeks later in the BC?? Does he train up to the BC? Do they just shut him down and retire him? I can't see them shipping him again before the BC. Wouldn't be surprised if this turns out to be his last race. Its been a long year, lots of travel, fires a big shot every time. AP doesn't owe anybody a thing.
P-Dub