Re: The Derby has changed (506 Views)
Posted by:
Dan (IP Logged)
Date: May 03, 2004 12:49PM
I'm curious what JB and others think about the whole slow final quarter thing. The thing that gets me is that looking solely at the fractions, Lion Heart looks like he went out fast (22 4/5) and quit. Looking at the chart (or the video) tells a different story, he appeared to dig in and pull away from everyone but Imperialism. Is this an argument for split variants? Was the track literally quicker around the first turn, where Lion Heart blazed a pretty quick time. I guess I have a problem with that because so much of the first 1/4 mile of the race is in the same homestretch where Lion Heart and Smarty Jones plodded home, at least according to the stop watch. But, if we assume the track was just slow, did Lion Heart go out in the equivalent of a 21 and change opening quarter? I have some trouble believing he could do that and still be around for such a strong stretch run. That leaves me believing that the track was not unusually slow and the field just did not finish strong. I guess I would tend to believe the race collapsed. I'll be interested to see the numbers.
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