Re: Early Stab at Derby M/L (847 Views)
Posted by:
ringato3 (IP Logged)
Date: April 17, 2016 10:59PM
Fairmount,
Looks very good to me. Usually when people post these kinds of lines you can see multiple "dumb" numbers (for lack of a better/kinder word). Don't see anything out of line with your numbers.
A few small thoughts:
I think Exaggerator will be a bit higher, maybe 6-1. Brody's Cause and Destin closer to 8 or 9 to 1. Mor Spirit and Gun Runner will be lower than what you posted I believe. Gun Runner was 13-1 in the last derby pool and nothing but bad/slow races since then for the others. (Yes, I know TGJB has him a turtle, but others disagree). Mo Tom being a top 5 betting choice would be idiotic. But who knows. WAsn't Dollar Bill single digit derby odds? (similar style to Mo Tom except I think Dollar Bill had the "Pat Day bet down at Churchill angle" going as well.
Good luck,
Rob
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