Re: mr obrien and the "short rest" "myth" (442 Views)
Posted by:
derby1592 (IP Logged)
Date: May 18, 2004 11:57PM
I should probably stay silent but I have to chime in on this one. Call me a sheet heretic but I think short rest is essentially meaningless in terms of what to expect in a horse's next race (longer term effects may be a very different story). I have never seen any data to support the theory despite its immense popularity among sheet users.
Don't take my word for it. Look at the overall TG figure-based stats for short rest compared to longer rest. Look at several other published studies by others that looked at win% and ROI after short rest. Do a study yourself.
As painful as it may be for some, this is probably not the last sheet "myth" that will get debunked by some of the ground-breaking stuff that TG is doing now.
If anyone has some contradictory info, I would be interested in hearing about it.
I understand the thinking behind the theory and I don't claim to understand the underlying reasons why the theory is invalid but I simply have never seen any data (using results from real races) that backs the theory up.
Chris
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