A War Story (1219 Views)
Posted by:
Tavasco (IP Logged)
Date: September 25, 2016 06:22AM
From Apocalypse Now - The Horror!
Reflecting on the 8th race Saturday @ Parx while anxiously anticipating the sure to be entertaining account of Richiebee's field trip.
Some disappointment Cryrus Alexander beat down from the m/l 6/1 to post time 2/1. Balanced by #4 Res Judicata floating up from 4/1 to 8/1. So based on the actual ex payoff of similar odds the exacta I was trying to catch paid close to 30/1.
The race played out much like I expected, except Mr. Jordan stayed closer to the pace setter than I expected. Getting edged by Mr. Jordan not a shock but War Story nearly winning the the race was a sad surprise.
The Motion horse #7 Tale of Life-Jpn held at the m/l of 3/1 and my idea of a tri saver was, probably ill conceived, yet my read on the trip difficulty was valid.
While the TG analysis liked Kelly Breen @ Parx and in particular #2 Encryption's 0 in June and -2 in September 2015 those races appear to have hurt this guy more than helped. Running an off race was not shocking and the potential to win was apparent at a reasonable 7/1.
The Horror - War Story is a career 5 pt horse. You know the type Vito complains about. He runs the same # virtually every race with the same style never really in contention. Then he goes off form late last year and they try to snap him out of it by running in the Pacific Classic. hmmm?
I was aware that Miguel Penaloza was striking at a 29% rate with first race horses new to his barn. But seriously, I underestimate magic, because I didn't think it was possible to get War Story to run a new top let alone compete @ 1 + 1/16.
So excuse my suspicions, doubts and disapproval but I don't like seeing his name in the company of horsemen the likes of Hollendorfer, Plesa, Servis, Breen, & Motion. So anyone that knows of the guy be it from prison or church can set the record straight! All I have is the perception.
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