TGJB,

I read your prior notes on those Arkansas races. You made a very sensible case.

Do you agree with my point though that when you are talking about figures this fast it is sometimes tough to pull the trigger and give it to them because logically you wouldn't expect horses running in a minor stakes in Arkansas to be this good?

Whenever I see a figure that doesn't make any sense based on the quality of the race/par time and margins of victory etc.... it immediately raises red flags for me. I start looking at what other figure makers thought and what the race/figures looked like going in.