>On a quasi-related note, remind me next week and we'll post all the sheets for last year's Pa Derby, which was a very similar situation to the Ark Derby-- I know you disagree, which is why I mention it, and want to show how the numbers have held up.<

Are you sure you want to discuss that one? :-)

I completely trust you when you say the figs have held up in a sensible way on your sheets.

We would probably just disagree about some of the interpretations of subsequent performances and get nowhere. It's no big deal to me unless you feel compelled to convince everyone else. No one should really care what I have to say anyway.

I think I disagreed with 3 of your figures in the last 9 months. I disagree with 3 of Beyer's and Rag’s regularly.

Just to refresh. These were the 3.

1. WV Derby (thought the sudden rain made it impossible to make an accurate figure but thought it might have been a tad faster than you thought)

2. The PA Derby (thought it was slightly slower than you thought and Dynever had actually run sub-par that day in the mud (it was a very sloppy track)

2. The Travers (thought that Ten Most Wanted benefited from the speed duel and ran his typical race instead of a super fast one. The two duelers ran slower than expected because of the duel and distance)

I will concede I could have been wrong on any or all three just so we don't go there again. :-)

Not sure of Beyer's thinking, but maybe he thought it made more sense that Smarty had run his usual race on March 20 and Purge ran slower in his first try at 1 1/16 than assuming than Smarty hit a new amazing peak and Purge ran his typical race. It was a bad assumption on his part.



Post Edited (06-03-04 15:42)