Guys, I'm a meteorologist who works on the east coast, whenever you need weather forecasts email me, I'll be happy to help. Newest data this morning is trending to a more signficant rain event for the Middle Atlantic Friday night and Saturday. Current projections put New York City right on the edge of the heavy rain but the trend is definetly for more rain Saturday. (Don't believe the weather channel they are posting sunny for Saturday) At this point I'm thinking a sloppy track is about a 65%.

I'm not sure a sloppy track actually helps SJ, but I don't think it will hurt him either. Just because he did well over the Arkansas mud (was it really muddy? looked good to me) and the Churchill slop doesn't mean he'll like the quirky slop of Belmont. Any opinions?