SoCalMan2 Wrote:
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> johnnym Wrote:
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> > TY Rocky..
> > 50% variation is kind of a large spread no?
>
>
> This is only anecdotal, but I have had payoffs
> where I wish the variation was only 50%. Sadly,
> these tend to occur on what should be the largest
> hits ever (I wouldn't be so upset about them if
> the nominal payoff was a more commonplace one).
>
> the worst ever was at Garden State (the racetrack
> of the 21st century). I hit a pick three with the
> following payoffs -- $32, $98, $48. It was on a
> Friday night and including a featured Stakes race.
> For $1, it paid $2,358 (Prices OK). I did manage
> to take down the entire pool. Usually, these
> terrible situations happen to me in the late SoCal
> Pick 4, and truth be told I can only cite less
> than a full handful.

Out of fairness, I need to point out a P4 at Santa Anita that paid well. It may not be sexy or exciting, but yesterday's late pick 4 at Santa Anita paid $289 per 50 cents and if I did my math right the parlay should have paid only $118....so the pick 4 was almost 250% of the parlay. Of course, sequences with low priced horses and low payoffs are not sexy. But, the variance cuts both ways. the win payoffs in the sequence were $7.40, $7.60, $6.60, and $10.20.....the 50 cent pick 4 paid $289.10.