Re: Belmont All Stakes Analysis (943 Views)
Posted by:
boardedup (IP Logged)
Date: June 11, 2017 06:39PM
Something I like to do regularly honestly. It happens more on big days when so many entered in any given stakes race can win (or appear so before the race). When they're "bunched" together like this as a default I tend to bet the longest odds to Win or WP, and then mix in the others in exactas.
I'm not sure if this is the "best" way to go about it or not? The other side would say that if you don't have a strong enough opinion to distinguish between them, you should pass the race. I look at it exactly opposite, if one's roughly just as likely to win as the others under consideration, but at higher odds, I'm pressing this kind of spot pretty much every time.
What do others think about this in general? Where do you draw the line between "value" and "pissing in the wind?"
(I have read the section on this site about why you bet a race)