Re: Keen Ice (1092 Views)
Posted by:
TempletonPeck (IP Logged)
Date: October 10, 2017 02:33PM
Now we are looking at hindsight/confirmation bias, IOW, results-oriented thinking - "If he won a pick 6, his profile/rules model must be good!"
The opposing position can be boiled down to, "Even a broken clock is right twice a day." The fact that he won a pick 6 that you're aware of is not evidence he's profitable, let alone that his model works. It's only evidence that he won a pick 6 that day. Said another way: he could have fired off a $10 quick-pick ticket and won that pick-6, which wouldn't be evidence that quick-picks are +ROI.
When Mazur can show 20 years of positive ROI, his models may mean something. Until then, he's just another tout hawking his picks.
Any Deadwood fans in the audience?
"Soap! Soap with a prize inside!"
"Wow I just bought a soap from that man and it had $5 inside!"