Re: Keen Ice (1014 Views)
Posted by:
jbelfior (IP Logged)
Date: October 12, 2017 07:17PM
TGJB Wrote:
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> Since KI will be maybe 30-1 I don't think that
> gives you too much of an edge. Does that rule
> apply only to the Classic, and if so, why?
He should be that high because he's too slow. May be lower than you think as this year's likely wise guy horse.
Yes, that's a rule I use for the BC Classic only. Doesn't apply for me for the turf. In the dirt mile, it's not in stone but I still prefer the younger ones.
A 5yo with superior numbers in the Classic will be overhyped and is not going to provide any value anyway. Besides,they already are what they are so I'll look for a 3yo (or 4yo)moving in the right direction. Case in point was Will Take Charge over Mucho Macho Man. I got beat but I'll take that kind of scenario and value every time in that race.
Good Luck,
Joe B.