Re: ROW & Stakes Pick 4 (1079 Views)
Posted by:
mjellish (IP Logged)
Date: March 24, 2018 10:37AM
I would have to agree that Indy would seem like the play here on paper. But he seems like a bit of a head case to me. He acted up before his races and been a bit rank early on during them, including in the Risen Star. Pletcher is trying to get Indy to focus by putting the blinkers on him. But he had the blinkers on in this work and still didn't focus. Notice he doesn't switch leads correctly until halfway down the stretch, and when he finally does it's not exactly smooth. Although he beats Hyndford by a long way in this work he doesn't come home especially fast, so to my eye Hyndford looks bad more than Indy looks good. Adding blinkers seems more like a "what the hell lets try adding blinkers" move than anything else. IMO that's usually not a good thing. Plus they are going 1 1/8 now, and its also my opinion that when you start adding distance it exasperates problems like not switching leads, losing focus, being rank and not listening to jock.
I'm not saying Indy can't win. But it's pretty tough to single this colt in the horizontals knowing hes got to overcome all of that, go farther than he ever has, and that he's acted up in the warm up/behind the gate and been rank in at least two of his 3 prior races. I suppose you can bet your money an hour and half in advance and "hope" that doesn't happen again. Or you can wait and play the late Pick 4.
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