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 Race of the Week:  2023 Breeders' Cup Days Final Figures Santa Anita 3-4 November 2023  • 1 Specials Available
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Re: Pimlico broadcast analysts said track played fair… (960 Views)
Posted by: TreadHead (IP Logged)
Date: May 20, 2018 08:14AM

Evaluating only the winner is an absolutely terrible way of identifying a track bias. If closers weren't the best horses, they never figured to win a race anyway. You have to look at the entire field and who placed where and what their relative prices/ability were.

Closers did fine in races like the Chick Lang, The Very One, even the horse that won the Dixie was 3rd of 4 for most of the race. And obviously they were coming very late in the Preakness just fine too.

Just as a starting point for this argument, when the best horse wins the race, it's hard to argue any kind of bias. If giant prices were regularly placing higher than they should of based on speed-based trips, that is when a bias may be coming into play. I don't see much evidence of that in looking thru the charts.

Analysts correct, horse racing fan wrong. Shocker.



Subject Written By Posted
Pimlico broadcast analysts said track played fair… (1499 Views) JohnTChance 05/19/2018 07:48PM
Re: Pimlico broadcast analysts said track played fair… (945 Views) wrongly1 05/20/2018 01:49AM
Re: Pimlico broadcast analysts said track played fair… (946 Views) sekrah_ 05/20/2018 07:13AM
Re: Pimlico broadcast analysts said track played fair… (920 Views) grinder 05/20/2018 07:59AM
Re: Pimlico broadcast analysts said track played fair… (960 Views) TreadHead 05/20/2018 08:14AM
Re: Pimlico broadcast analysts said track played fair… (821 Views) sekrah_ 05/20/2018 10:07AM
Re: Pimlico broadcast analysts said track played fair… (885 Views) Tavasco 05/20/2018 12:19PM
Re: Biases (789 Views) BitPlayer 05/20/2018 01:33PM
Re: Biases (756 Views) JR 05/20/2018 03:46PM
Re: Pimlico broadcast analysts said track played fair… (808 Views) john9969 05/20/2018 09:01AM


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