Jimbo,
I didn't say he "nailed" the race. But the anlysis stated about TT:
1)She had the best grass figures
2)She was better than 50-50 to at least pair her top
3)She was the value in the race.

He also stated that:
1)Dance in the Mood was a contender, albeit the favorite
2)Hollywood Story had the best races by far(although on dirt), a big question mark. Also noted Shirref's strong ROI and 25% stat.
3)Western Hemisphere, with a ground saving trip, was squarely in this
4)Eternal Melody likely to get a check

Those were basically the 5 horses he felt were contenders. Of those 5, which one would you key on? Probably the one with the best figs, 50-50 to pair/top, and 12-1. JB talks about price all the time. I don't know how you wouldn't say that he hit this race pretty well with his analysis.

Oh BTW, 3 of those 4 completed the Superfecta.



P-Dub