Re: Mike Smith picks OMAHA BEACH (1001 Views)
Posted by:
toppled (IP Logged)
Date: April 17, 2019 05:33PM
Looking at the sheets I think he was literally in a no win situation. Roadster's top is in the lower half of the 20 horse field (near the top of the bottom 10, but still too many faster horses) and Omaha Beach is a big bounce candidate off a 4.5 point jump up in the Ark. Derby. So it made more sense to take the faster horse & hope Mandella can limit the bounce since Omaha comes in as the fastest horse in the race although the combination of the big forward move, the chance he's a mud lover, Mandella's 1/15 record at CD & only 3 weeks rest gives me a good reason to think he's going to bounce to the moon. Now if the track is off, I'll have to reconsider since I do believe he moves up on a wet track.
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