I think there are a number of horses that can go each way. For starters, I’ll assume we’re calling Master Fencer an auto toss? Just going solely based off that uncompetitive fig we have. I’ll go through the preps...

I’ll be honest, I’m really starting to think the Wood may be the best looking prep here. Lots of good figs and the 3rd place winner even looks intriguing, though that is before looking at his sire and siblings.

War of Will is the one I’m starting to key in on. Granted the bounce last out was significant, his prior two put him right there. By My Standards has moved forward each race and everything I know to date says off, but 6 weeks may help.

I think the Blue Grass is the fade race this year. I’m more than happy to let Vekoma best me, but that is more because i have a “hedge” win bet with him in the first futures pool. This was made before I saw how he runs. Win Win Win May be the wiseguy horse but unless the teach him how to exit the gate, I’ll back off him.

Regarding the AK Derby, if a city zip colt wins the KY Derby, I may as well just find a new sport to wager on. I’m very much so open to people telling me I’m wrong here. Game Winner is the horse from this race but ... Rosario. Great jock, but you just never know what you’re gonna get with him.

The Todd’s look like they could move forward but TP hasn’t been TP this year. Going back to his 2YO last season, his best horse (that he raced) was a turf sprinter! ... think about that. Sunland and LA are not the playbook he uses for his varsity team.

Finally, the FL Derby. Max Security has been working like crap to date, but I believe he was a few weeks of the FL derby as well. Part of me just thinks it could be his year. How funny would it be if it were him and Tax in the exacta (going back to Jerry’s latest seminar, maybe he just filed an extension?). Regarding the second place finisher. I know it was a no passing zone,
Per usual for the track, but he looks similar to others who will be at a shorter price, that is if he gets in which I think he may.

I’ll pass on Dubai.

Just some random thoughts I figured I’d toss out, if anything to stoke further conversation.