Most of these three year olds never even make it to four. The triple crown races destroy them. I'm fairly certain Smith chose what he believes is the best horse. And I also think he and Baffert had some kind of split,the result being a smiling Mike beating Baffert in virtually every big race this year. I don't think the derby will be any different. I have no dog in this fight though. I'll just get the sheets and form and handicap it Friday night like aways. I'll never understand all the hype around the derby for gamblers. We've got so many things to bet on these days. And how many years now have we had favorites? Those days of the mystery longshot horses are long gone. Everyone has access to all this information. They even mention thorographs constantly on TVG! All the clockers sell their workouts and even the horse whisperer Kerry Thomas sells his analysis on Brisnet. He's never not selected the winner by the way. He's like 5 for 5. It'slike a short novel. He spends weeks writing it. For fifty bucks he'll tell you what each horse is thinking. You're not likely finding anything that everyone else doesn't know. You're better off playing the golden pick six at golden gate tomorrow! I think it's all stakes races and probably big fields. Good luck whatever you do!