Fairmount1 Wrote:
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> Will World of Trouble's performance on Friday
> affect Max Security's odds to a certain extent? I
> would say that is very possible.
>
> If he wins by 7L+ (was clear of 3rd by this much
> at 5.5f at CD in November at BC with 118 Beyer)???
>
>
> Or what if he doesn't even hit the super running
> up the track in shocking fashion???? (worst career
> performance was losing by 4+L)

My opinion here would be "No", because most of the money bet into the Derby
Pool will be bet by people who are not even aware that Trainer Servis had
horses entered on Friday or how they performed. Huge pools here, lots of
relatively uninformed bettors, 98% of whom are unaware of The Guru Jerry Brown
(TGJB)'s "undercard theory". If you asked a lot of Derby Day bettors on and off
track what "enhanced testing" meant, they might reply that it has something to
do with why Lori Loughlin had to pay $500,000 to get her two spoiled brats into
a party school.

Indeed, many folks who bet on Max Sec will not be aware (as we all are) that
his final prep was more regatta than grade I stake.

As far as I am concerned a smashing performance by WOT would make me think more
of Max Sec's chances, while a poor performance by WOT would not cause me to
downgrade Max Sec's chances. Meaning that (in my opinion) there was one
possible good reason for a smashing performance, but many possible reasons for
the poor performance.