Jerry wrote

"I'm not sure exactly which comments of mine you are referring to."

The post was from May 2, 2000 "Figure Making Methodologies"....A Classic

I was referring precisely to those situations that can't be tied to similar turn races with older hores.

In other words, can certain assumptions be
made based upon the pars of only the 2 yo races at the distance in question on the same track vs. leaving the box blank. (Assuming that your data set is large enough to be meaningful)

I know that it flies in the face of your premise, but could it yield something accurate enough to be used in those rare circumstances. I do realize that errors will compound down the road.