Without having proven horses run over the same course there is no way of establishing the speed of the track, so the answer is no. Pars are only useful for large-population studies-- when you first set up your data base, you use claiming pars, for example. But after you get a rough data base with a rough figure history for each horse, you abandon the pars in favor of the "projection" method, which is much more accurate-- you use the horses who ran in the 10 claimer in question, as opposed to the ones who ran in all 10 claimers.

Everything else aside, if there was only one two year old race on a card, and you did it by bringing it back to par for that kind of race, you would be saying it was an average race, whether it was good, bad, or average. And those races are notiously variable-- that's why no one uses them even if they use pars.



TGJB