Jim P,

I am not saying his previous figures were incorrect at all. Actually, to the contrary. I believe they were correct BUT if you don't consider other factors, besides pure figures, you can wind up betting on the wrong horse. I think Lionheart was a very fast horse. He was great at 1 mile and maybe 1 1/16. I believe he had distance limitiations. Not because he broke his leg, but because he lost ground in the stretch to the winner in every 3 year old race except the Haskell, in which he enjoyed a loose lead over a speed favoring track.

Obviously, the Travers didn't prove that point, because he broke his leg. I would have preferred he not get hurt (obviously for more than my own selfish reasons) and run his normal race and backed up in the stretch to finish 4th or so, which is what I thought would happen.

My point was that I think T-Graph excludes some factors in their thinking. Like pace, distance limitations and race setup.

I was not criticizing LH's previous figures.