Re: Updated Derby Computer Model Odds Line (1120 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: May 03, 2002 03:41PM
Where did you come up with the pace-front runner bias? If the average Derby field has 16 horses, the front runner should win once every 16 years. I cashed both Bold Forbes and Spend A Buck, both in less than 32 years.
Incidentally, todays Daily News has a PP study for the Derby and posts 17 to 20 are historically 2 for 82. In general, 1-10 are about twice the win% of 11-20.
TGJB