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 Race of the Week:  2023 Breeders' Cup Days Final Figures Santa Anita 3-4 November 2023  • 1 Specials Available
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Re: Gulfstream tapeta/synth bias? (425 Views)
Posted by: prist (IP Logged)
Date: February 02, 2022 12:03PM

I took the 50 races they ran at GP last week and ran them through a spreadsheet I made.

This was not the intended purpose of the spreadsheet, but this kind of analysis is well within its scope.

What I did was compare the official closing prices, for each horse, to how they actually performed on the track.

The end result is a rating I'll call "volatility Rate." The lower the number, the more formful the race.

I highlighted the races on Saturday because a lot of chalk won that day. Interestingly enough those races all came back with good scores even though i'm measuring all the horses rather than just the winner. The PWC came back as the second most formful race out of the 50 they ran last week.

Results show that the synth races are more volatile than the non-synth races. The difference is around 10% for the small sample size I worked with. So, I guess synth races are 10% harder to handicap.

Spreadsheet printout attached ... when/if I figure out how.

The internet is also messed up today. Must be all the synthetic snow we're getting.



Subject Written By Posted
Gulfstream tapeta/synth bias? (671 Views) Bauerx90 01/29/2022 08:29AM
Re: Gulfstream tapeta/synth bias? (506 Views) Tavasco 01/30/2022 04:52AM
Re: Gulfstream tapeta/synth bias? (500 Views) HP 01/30/2022 08:36AM
Re: Gulfstream tapeta/synth bias? (384 Views) prist 02/01/2022 01:28PM
Re: Gulfstream tapeta/synth bias? (451 Views) TGJB 02/01/2022 01:57PM
Re: Gulfstream tapeta/synth bias? (373 Views) statuette 02/01/2022 02:01PM
Re: Gulfstream tapeta/synth bias? (370 Views) prist 02/01/2022 02:23PM
Re: Gulfstream tapeta/synth bias? (374 Views) statuette 02/01/2022 02:44PM
Re: Gulfstream tapeta/synth bias? (425 Views) prist 02/02/2022 12:03PM
Re: Gulfstream tapeta/synth bias? (390 Views) prist 02/02/2022 01:16PM
Re: Gulfstream tapeta/synth bias? (375 Views) prist 02/10/2022 10:10AM
Re: Gulfstream tapeta/synth bias? (347 Views) ajkreider 02/06/2022 09:57PM
Re: Gulfstream tapeta/synth bias? (405 Views) prist 02/06/2022 10:17AM
Re: GP Surfaces Overview (380 Views) Molesap 02/07/2022 02:21AM
Re: GP Surfaces Overview (364 Views) HP 02/07/2022 12:05PM
Re: GP Surfaces Overview (316 Views) Molesap 02/08/2022 01:32PM


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