Your Ask The Experts ID
is separate from your
Order Online Account ID
 Race of the Week:  TBA  
Order Online
Buy TG Data
Complete Menu of
TG Data products
Simulcast Books
Customize a Value
Package of Select
TG Data
Sheet Requests
Order The Last Figure for Any Horse
Free Products
Redboard Room
Download and Review previous days' data.
Race of the Week
With detailed comments
ThoroTrack
Email notification when your horse races
Information
Introduction
For newcomers.
Samples and Tutorials
For Horsemen
Consulting services and Graph Racing
Sales Sites
Where to buy TG around the country
Archives
Historical races and handicapping articles
Handicapping
Hall of Fame
Major handicapping contest winners
Home Page
Re: Rich Strike out of Preakness. (489 Views)
Posted by: Socalman3 (IP Logged)
Date: May 12, 2022 03:20PM

It is' hard to diagnose the jump up because of the synthetic. If the horse truly doesn't like synthetic, then it worked its way to that 8 point jump and the progression didn't necessarily all happen all of a sudden. If the horse had steadily worked its way down from a 9 as a two year old reaction point to a 1....then getting 5 weeks rest, looking at a pair up of the 1 in the Belmont would not look crazy. The problem is we do not know this for sure and the extremeness of the jump up could be a whacky surface switch jump up. In those cases, you are looking at such an extreme jump it is hard to see how you don't bounce. But the situatoin could be one or the other of these cases and you need to try to assign percentages to what is going on. It is also possible that both are true. I think skipping the Preakness is a smart move and he has at least a 1 in 3 chance of pairing up his Derby fig on 5 weeks rest in the Belmont.



Subject Written By Posted
Rich Strike out of Preakness. (585 Views) sekrah 05/12/2022 01:14PM
Re: Rich Strike out of Preakness. (482 Views) statuette 05/12/2022 02:18PM
Re: Rich Strike out of Preakness. (516 Views) Roman 05/12/2022 02:51PM
Re: Rich Strike out of Preakness. (555 Views) statuette 05/12/2022 03:07PM
Deleted - accidential dupe Re: Rich Strike out of Preakness. (611 Views) Socalman3 05/12/2022 03:20PM
Deleted - accidential dupe -- Re: Rich Strike out of Preakness. (436 Views) Socalman3 05/12/2022 03:20PM
Re: Rich Strike out of Preakness. (489 Views) Socalman3 05/12/2022 03:20PM
Re: Rich Strike out of Preakness. (465 Views) johnnym 05/12/2022 03:27PM
Re: Rich Strike out of Preakness. (584 Views) Socalman3 05/12/2022 04:54PM
Re: Rich Strike out of Preakness. (422 Views) johnnym 05/13/2022 06:11AM
Re: Rich Strike out of Preakness. (431 Views) prist 05/13/2022 11:02AM


Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.
This forum powered by Phorum.

Thoro-Graph 180 Varick Street New York, NY 10014 ---- Click here for the Ask The Experts Archives.