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Re: Preakness Stakes (467 Views)
Posted by: Tavasco (IP Logged)
Date: May 21, 2022 02:06PM

Both of the following races run at a mile and one eighth.

The Wood Memorial 23.86, 47.75, 1:11.59, 1:35.63, 1:47.96 Track Condition Fast. The pace here was contested by both A.P's Secret and Barese. Eary Voting hustled to the lead and even Golden Code was only 2 back. Picture a pack of 4 actually racing the first 6F at which time Early voting separated by two lengths only to be caught by the freight train called Mo Donegal. Note - IMO Mo Donegal doesn't win that race without getting through so cleanly on the rail as he did. Consider a contested pace takes more energy generally than loping along on the lead alone.

Wood Memorial Video

The Withers 23.57, 48.04, 1:14.29, 1:41.75, 1:55.90 Track Condition Muddy Early Voting led by 2 @ 1/2 meaning the 2nd place horse ran 50+ and by 3 1/2 @ 6F so the 2nd place horse nearly 1:18. This is a case where the track is slow so the raw time doesn't reveal how fast the pace was but the separation is a clue.

Withers Stakes Video

Some BRIS PP's include pace figures and theirs consider Early Voting to be significantly fastest to the pace call. Both the Wood and Withers suggest to me the colt hasn't learned to rate or alternatively the strategy of his connections c/b to run the competition off it's feet ala Bullet-Bob. We just saw a Kentucky Derby that was an example of a horse can't go balls to the wall for the entire race and there's a fine line between collapse and enduring.

I believe TG race shapes are based on position while so-called pace figures are based on time.

The Bottom Line in reviewing these two races Early Voting impresses causing me to reconsider my earlier thoughts.



Subject Written By Posted
Preakness Stakes (789 Views) prist 05/19/2022 05:01PM
Re: Preakness Stakes (676 Views) ajkreider 05/19/2022 05:44PM
Re: Preakness Stakes (573 Views) jwbcardinals 05/20/2022 10:21AM
Re: Preakness Stakes (608 Views) prist 05/20/2022 10:55AM
Re: Preakness Stakes (508 Views) jerry 05/21/2022 12:49AM
Re: Preakness Stakes (461 Views) prist 05/21/2022 09:44AM
Re: Preakness Stakes (467 Views) Tavasco 05/21/2022 02:06PM
Re: Preakness Stakes (288 Views) prist 05/22/2022 11:12AM
Re: Preakness Stakes (619 Views) confused 05/20/2022 12:39PM
Re: Preakness Stakes (654 Views) ajkreider 05/20/2022 08:53PM
Re: Preakness Stakes (610 Views) jerry 05/21/2022 01:06AM


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