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Re: 2022 Belmont Field (654 Views)
Posted by: Fairmount1 (IP Logged)
Date: June 07, 2022 10:36PM

Blue Chip,

The odds on this Belmont are tough to predict.

People complained, cheered, yelled, explained, and moaned all over Twitterverse about how crazy the odds were in the Preakness this year. But for a good amount of years, not counting the weird Covid times, there have been horses with NO chance going off FAR FAR shorter in the Preakness and Belmont than they should have. I tell you that b/c I think while 4 to 1 is a pipe dream in an 8 horse field, I do think that it is possible (unlikely) to get 3-1 on your horse. 5 to 2 seems about right to me but again this one is tough as no clue what happens with Richie (barn nickname for Derby winner) as well as Mo and a much shorter than ml Nest.

Looks like a 2 horse race to me. WTP in front for as long as he can race and can he get 1.5 miles. Tiz the Law was by Constitution out of a Tiznow mare so there is reason to see him having no trouble. WTP maternal grandmother Harmony Lodge was a sprinter though. If he doesn't make the 1.5 miles in front, Nest sits chilly and close behind him with the breeding to definitely run the distance and win if WTP doesn't. Some think Barber Road will be closer to the pace based on 3 races as 2yo although I don't see him "changing" or "reverting" successfully to that at 1.5 miles now.

Good Luck.



Subject Written By Posted
2022 Belmont Field (839 Views) Molesap 06/07/2022 01:57PM
Re: 2022 Belmont Field (633 Views) Ace 06/07/2022 08:07PM
Re: 2022 Belmont Field (671 Views) bluechip21 06/07/2022 09:25PM
Re: 2022 Belmont Field (654 Views) Fairmount1 06/07/2022 10:36PM
Re: 2022 Belmont Field (690 Views) Kasept 06/08/2022 05:23AM
Re: 2022 Belmont Field (709 Views) Fairmount1 06/08/2022 07:46AM
Re: 2022 Belmont Field (627 Views) RICH 06/08/2022 05:11AM
Re: 2022 Belmont Field (661 Views) Tavasco 06/10/2022 09:14PM
Re: 2022 Belmont Field - Aftermath (481 Views) Tavasco 06/12/2022 05:53AM
Re: 2022 Belmont Field - Aftermath (452 Views) Tavasco 06/12/2022 06:07AM
Re: 2022 Belmont Field - Aftermath (516 Views) jbelfior 06/12/2022 06:47AM
Re: 2022 Belmont Field - Aftermath (327 Views) rhagood 06/13/2022 09:53PM
Re: 2022 Belmont Field - Aftermath (323 Views) Tavasco 06/14/2022 04:15AM
Re: 2022 Belmont Field - Aftermath (332 Views) jbelfior 06/14/2022 06:05AM


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