Re: The Ohio Derby (388 Views)
Posted by: prist
Date: June 24, 2022 01:52PM
I feel like I may be too aggressive, at times, handicapping horses off ugly numbers. Case in point: DOWAGIAC CHIEF and BARESE.
Both were/are coming off X's, but had some positives going on two/three races back. While I'm confident both lines recover, and move back in the right direction, there is no guarantee they get back to a level good enough to win.
I don't know ... it's a tricky situation. I'm playing around with the numbers, and if I'm a bit more cautious with BARESE he gets bumped up to like 6/1 or 7/1. A bit higher, but not much.
They need to hurry up and run this race so I know what I don't know. ;-)