Travers Opinion (568 Views)
Posted by:
P-Dub (IP Logged)
Date: August 25, 2023 03:01PM
1 - Forte 7/5ML: Nice pair going into this race, not a bad pattern at all. The BI/BO in his last 2 are concerning. He can win this, but IMO a massive underlay.
2 - Archangelo 5/2ML: A Ton of development from his 2YO race. 2 huge jumps of 4 points each, backed up a little to win the Belmont. Is this an 0-2-X waiting to happen?? Anyone well versed on that let me know. Still, at 5/2 coming off a backward move with the 2 prior huge jump ups, another underlay for me.
3- Tapit Trice 12ML: Has alternated races recently, good/bad/good/bad from a numbers standpoint. He's due for a good one, gets blinkers. Had trouble in the Derby as many do and ran a clunker last time. If he runs his race will be right there at a price.
4 - Mage 4ML: His Derby and Haskell are the 2 fastest in the race. Regressed in the Preakness, got back to the fast one last time. Have to use him.
5 - National Treasure - 8ML: Still hasn't gotten back to his 2YO top, and has paired the same number in his 4 races this year which won't get it done. He would need a 3-4 point jump. I'll pass
6 - Disarm 8ML: Not a bad pattern at all, he just hasn't run a number fast enough to win yet. Gets blinkers. Has a license to break through and an absolute use underneath.
7 - Scotland 12ML: This horse is really interesting. Lightly raced just got started this year. Paired his last 3 races, and while those aren't fast enough they aren't bad at all........why not a forward move to be right in this?? Went 2 turns for the first time and wired the field on this track. NT will probably go right to the front, this one can lay right off of him. Fired off a bullet half mile best of 69 on the training track.
Scotland is a live longshot. Will key him with Forte, Tapit Trice, Mage, and Disarm.
I'll take a stand against Archangelo.
P-Dub