Your Ask The Experts ID
is separate from your
Order Online Account ID
 Race of the Week:  The Modesty Stakes Churchill May 3, 2024 
Order Online
Buy TG Data
Complete Menu of
TG Data products
Simulcast Books
Customize a Value
Package of Select
TG Data
Sheet Requests
Order The Last Figure for Any Horse
Free Products
Redboard Room
Download and Review previous days' data.
Race of the Week
With detailed comments
ThoroTrack
Email notification when your horse races
Information
Introduction
For newcomers.
Samples and Tutorials
For Horsemen
Consulting services and Graph Racing
Sales Sites
Where to buy TG around the country
Archives
Historical races and handicapping articles
Handicapping
Hall of Fame
Major handicapping contest winners
Home Page
Breeder's Cup (664 Views)
Posted by: jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: October 12, 2004 06:53PM

Ok, all of the significant preps have been run for the Breeder's Cup. How about some thoughts from some of the experts here about the horses they expect to run well or run poorly in the BC. Personally, I think the Breeder's CUp is a tough betting proposition every year. Lots of "great value" bets, but tough to find the winners!

I will try to start a discussion with a few opinions:

1. The bandwagon for Sweet Catomine can't get any bigger. Sense of Style went from being the biggest favorite on BC day, to probable second choice. I have to watch her race again but she wouldn't be the first horse to have trouble on the Keenland surface and then run back to her old numbers on a different surface.

2. Kitten's Joy will be probable favorite off of his huge win last week. But we shouldn't forget that the Europeans he beat were the "second stringers". Depending on who comes over, betting against Kitten's Joy and on the top Euros, might provide some value.

3. I thought Sun King got a strange ride from Javier Castellano in the Champagne. He had exploded at the top of the lane in a good field to break his maiden. Castellano had him pressing the pace on Saturday. At a price, he could be tough off the pace in the BC.

4. The Classic is going to be interesting. I am still not convinced that Ghostzapper wants 1 1/4. However, he will go into the race as the fastest horse and all the BC future pools I have seen list Pleasantly Perfect as the favorite. I haven't seent the number that Perfect Drift ran in the Hawthorne race, and I can't like the fact that Freefourinternet beat him, but that was one of the worst rides I have seen in a while on a heavy favorite. I may be stubborn, but I still remember the Perfect Drift that ran down an "in form" Mineshaft. And I am suspect about Ghostzapper at the distance and also Pleasantly Perfect, as I don't think he was as sharp at Delmar as earlier in the year. But Murray Johnson is 0 for 2004 as a trainer. Tough record to bet on!



Subject Written By Posted
Breeder's Cup (664 Views) jimbo66 10/12/2004 06:53PM
Re: Breeder's Cup (400 Views) jbelfior 10/13/2004 10:21AM
Re: Breeder's Cup (363 Views) STB 10/13/2004 05:37PM
Re: Breeder's Cup (427 Views) jimbo66 10/13/2004 07:45PM
Re: Breeder's Cup (407 Views) P.Eckhart 10/13/2004 11:14PM


Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.
This forum powered by Phorum.

Thoro-Graph 180 Varick Street New York, NY 10014 ---- Click here for the Ask The Experts Archives.