Breeder's Cup (664 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: October 12, 2004 06:53PM
Ok, all of the significant preps have been run for the Breeder's Cup. How about some thoughts from some of the experts here about the horses they expect to run well or run poorly in the BC. Personally, I think the Breeder's CUp is a tough betting proposition every year. Lots of "great value" bets, but tough to find the winners!
I will try to start a discussion with a few opinions:
1. The bandwagon for Sweet Catomine can't get any bigger. Sense of Style went from being the biggest favorite on BC day, to probable second choice. I have to watch her race again but she wouldn't be the first horse to have trouble on the Keenland surface and then run back to her old numbers on a different surface.
2. Kitten's Joy will be probable favorite off of his huge win last week. But we shouldn't forget that the Europeans he beat were the "second stringers". Depending on who comes over, betting against Kitten's Joy and on the top Euros, might provide some value.
3. I thought Sun King got a strange ride from Javier Castellano in the Champagne. He had exploded at the top of the lane in a good field to break his maiden. Castellano had him pressing the pace on Saturday. At a price, he could be tough off the pace in the BC.
4. The Classic is going to be interesting. I am still not convinced that Ghostzapper wants 1 1/4. However, he will go into the race as the fastest horse and all the BC future pools I have seen list Pleasantly Perfect as the favorite. I haven't seent the number that Perfect Drift ran in the Hawthorne race, and I can't like the fact that Freefourinternet beat him, but that was one of the worst rides I have seen in a while on a heavy favorite. I may be stubborn, but I still remember the Perfect Drift that ran down an "in form" Mineshaft. And I am suspect about Ghostzapper at the distance and also Pleasantly Perfect, as I don't think he was as sharp at Delmar as earlier in the year. But Murray Johnson is 0 for 2004 as a trainer. Tough record to bet on!
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