Dickenson is one notch below God, but if A Huevo takes money you just have to bet against him. Every time he goes to the track these days he's at least 33% to get hurt in the race. If he beats you, so be it.

It's tough to bet Shake You Down in a Grade I off a long layoff. Has ability, but not with my money.

Gator's and Bear's fits nicely, but I don't even like a 3 month layoff coming into a Grade I. I'll pass and let him beat me.

Philadelphia Jim doesn't look good enough.

Lion Tamer has always looked like a much better sprinter to me. This is probably an OK spot. Maybe 7F would be better. IMO he hasn't run well enough to beat these yet, but he's not impossible.

True Direction's best chance is his new trainer - which means anything is possible.

I know a lot of people like Abbondanza, but IMO he isn't as good as these and the BC proved that. However, there isn't much pure speed in here other than Shake You Down and we have no idea how he's going to come back. So there's an outside shot that he could get loose without too much early pressure. I won't bet him unless he's extremely long, but he's not impossibe. If the track is playing speed, so much the better.

IMO, Midas Eyes, Champali, and Clock Stopper are all fairly similar. Midas Eyes is probably a bit the best. If any of them goes off much longer than the others he's probably worth a look.

Wildcat Heir is interesting because he'll probably go off a lot longer than the other contenders, yet he's not WAY worse than them off his recent race. He's lightly raced, improving, and has always looked like a horse with potential. He's probably more dangerous than the public will bet him.

The odds will determine the bet.



Post Edited (11-20-04 16:21)