Re: More on the DeFrancis (460 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: November 20, 2004 12:13PM
CtC,
Been looking at the race since yesterday, but my problem with "chiming in" is that I don't disagree much with Jerry. So, if he is wrong, I probably go down with him.
I usually don't bet races where I like the favorite, and in this case I have to like Midas Eyes. Usually after his horses stink the joint up in the Breeders Cup, Frankel stops running them for the year. The fact that he brings Midas Eyes back for another race, makes me think the horse's excuse in the BC was legitimate. I read where Frankel said "he lost he race before they got on the track". Apparently he had some kind of mishap where he banged his head and was full of blood in the mouth/head area. I know the "frankel skeptics" probably agree he lost the race "before the race", when Frankels vet didn't get to him in time (he was spending extra time with Ghostzapper!!)
The horse usually doesn't like to be on the rail, but with Abbondanza as the real speed with maybe Skake you Down, Midas Eyes figures to be sitting 3rd or 4th (with Champali). Despite his bad rides in the BC, I like Prado and I really thought Midas Eyes was a "champ" after his two Saratoga races.
I am very suspicious of Abbondanza's figure in the Philly race, but as the clear speed, with a possibility to be "loose", if Shake You Down doesn't fire, I have to use him.
I love the jockey change away from Pat Day for Clockstopper. Over the years the "Pat Day off" angle, switching to a more aggressive jockey, has been a good angle for me.
Chamnpali is a tough horse, especially if it winds up wet. Either way, have to use.
Now you see why I don't like the race, full of chalk, all of which looks good.
I will play the race lightly, keying Midas Eyes over 5 horses in the triple.
Abbondanza
Clock Stopper
Champali
GatorsnBears
Wildcat Heir
Betting against Shake You Down and A Huevo, hoping they take money in the exotics.
If Midas Eyes goes off at 2-1 or greater, I will bet him to win a little too.
But not my kind of race. Can't get "rich" on chalk :)