Weight is a variable. I think the scale TGraph uses is a good tool.

The Clark is an interesting race.

Saint Liam - He obviously jumped up under Dutrow. Not only is he fast, he appears to be the controlling speed. Anyone want to postulate a pace scenario that compromises him? Additionally, he seems to like the surface. His "best" races under his previous trainer were on the surface. He's also had a little freshing and he seems to have run lights out for Dutrow under similar circumstances. Of the things that can beat him "bounce" and "surface condition" seem most "probable". I'm going to keep my eye on the results. If the track gets slow, thats probably the best chance to work an upset. The track was "good" but fair Thursday. The races were a bit slow but for Commentator who humbled his field as bad as he beat Eurosilver

I look at three horses with a chance to top the Saint. They are Sir Cherokee, Eurosilver and Perfect Dread. Sir Cherokee and Euro on unrealized potential. Dread on a nice looking race in the B.C. (all things considered). I favor Dread the most for an upset based on his fondness for the strip and excellent preparation. I like his weight assignment as well. (Theres several with light imposts) I still think for it to happen something has to be amiss with Saint.

I'm not high on Frankel's horse. (and that may be cuz I'm not looking at TGraph) If I bet this race I'm leaving him out of the top two spots, so he's liable to beat me.

I think I'm all over the chalk so I may look to hit straight tri's. Good Luck.

CtC