Re: weights (463 Views)
Date: November 26, 2004 02:14PM
>how many times have you disregarded a 2 lb shift and lost by a head?<
I never tried to figure that out. I know I cashed some tickets over the years when I used to ignore weight completely. When I look back at those races now I would be hard pressed to play them as strongly as I did because of negative weight shifts. This is one of those things that I think either gets built into the odds (or even worse "overbuilt")
I am willing to concede that weight is a factor, but I think the premise that anyone's figures are so accurate as to make very small shifts in weight important to be incorrect.
If it comes down to that, you should probably be focusing on odds, possible changes in form, extreme race development possibilities etc.... and not a couple of pounds.
Post Edited (11-26-04 14:24)
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