Re: Betting Against Blackdoun today? (392 Views)
Posted by:
Michael D. (IP Logged)
Date: November 28, 2004 12:46PM
bet blackd to win in the BC. those 7f turf ovals have no place in horse racing. hard to believe stronach and only a few others in the biz understand that. i will use blackd again tho, ran well enough going 9f, and that inside post in this big field is huge. i will use timo, mainly because of the jock (JR has had amazing success in this turf festival). looks a tad slow, but hoping for a decent stalking trip, and a jump on the closers. i will use fast & f, although a few of these might be bunched together back there about five to ten lengths off the pace, might be looking at some serious ground loss here. laura might be tough. i expect stevens stay lay third or fourth, so he might be able to tuck in there somewhere, and not lose too much ground from the outside post. the horse tends to hang a bit, and i won't use if the turf is soft (saw umbrellas out yesterday). and of course there is imperialism, my derby pick. bred to go 10f on turf, but what the hell is desormeaux going to do from post 13. i guess he drops back to last, tries to save some ground and make it up in the stretch. tough task, but i can't toss a horse with this much class......... odds should be decent on timo, i guess i will key him over the others.