Re: pat day and azeri (398 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: December 03, 2004 08:18PM
I'm doing a good job of breaking promises to discontinue threads. But after this post, I promise I'm done in this thread.
First of all, the reason I am at this site is because I have the GREATEST regard for the type of work that TGraph does. Its Jerry for the most part. I have a sense of his acumen and nine times out of ten when I've bucked his work I've gotten burned. I don't follow it day to day. I watch from a Grade I perspective to determine how big he says an effort is. I pay close attention whenever theres doubt between figure makers, if you don't give TGraph the benefit of the doubt, you're just not in tune with how figures are validated. Knowing how fast a horse ran is of course only one part of puzzle and TGJB excels in that endeavor. I do however have great reservations about Lone Star Park and the Classic. Though, I have more work to do upon it yet. In this game certainty is very elusive even ex post facto. But assuming I'm wrong again, I'll say so when I can tell. To my mind, theres a host of post race factors being revealed which need to be considered in determining just what kind of race the Breeders Cup Classic was.
Wide is never a good place to be, but I think it possible that by the time the Classic was run a double bias existed at Lone Star on Breeders Cup Day. Pace was certainly a factor in that. Thats my theory. With the exception of Kela, anything wide died in the dirt. being near rail and out front was certainly the place to be by the ninth race. I certainly know that its always good to have tactical speed and save ground, but like I said, I think it was more than that.
You know why I haven't put this down? It's because you have a trainer that admittedly has a horse with significant ability, but he's cheating with this horse and thats not the extent of it. Cheating isn't good enough for him, he also has to negotiate a pace scenario with his main rival. A couple bad breaks and wide turns and POOF, the juiced horse has no pace issue to deal with and the world thinks he's a super horse. Well, we'll see about that. When I call the race where GZ goes down, maybe TGJB can change my moniker for me. I'm thinking something tantamount to "Chuckles the Magnificent Clown". If I'm wrong Jerry can change it to "Chuckles the Once Again Ever So Much More Humble Clown".
:)
CtC