The Strub is a weaker race than the Donn. There’s also more potential for a good price.

Rock Hard Ten will be the favorite off his Malibu prep (a weak Grade 1) and his overall record. Personally, I think he deserves to be the favorite. However, I expect him to be over-bet based on his reputation. Let’s just say that most of those that think he has a lot of potential are probably too high on him based on what he has done so far. Those that dislike him probably haven’t seen him run often enough to notice the obvious star potential.

Horse like Castledale and Imperialism were of similar ability to RHT before having their campaigns interrupted. Castledale, especially, had a useful prep for this race and could move forward a lot.

Love of Money has been out for a few months, but has been working very well. He looks like the dominant speed and does his best running loose on the lead. He’s certainly good enough to wire these if he’s close to ready, gets loose, and no one (most likely RHT, second most likely Castledale) steps up to fulfill the promise they showed last spring. The big problem is the question mark surrounding how he will actually run. His last race was 4 months ago and it wasn’t good.

After that there are a lot of horses of similar ability. I’ll take a better look at replays, charts etc… tonight to see if there’s anyone I might want to go fishing with.



Post Edited (02-04-05 16:51)