I think the big mistake was having St. Liam so wound up at this time of year. It's nice to get the early season Grade I if you think your horse really isn't that good. In this case however, he's obviously very talented and it's extremely rare to come out this sharp in February and still be around when the really big races are on the schedule in the fall.

I don't feel bad about not hitting the exacta the way it finished. I feel bad because High Fly was obviously either best or second best. I nailed the right horse to key on for value (CA) but the trip for High Fly was brutal - even down to the last few strides when it looked like I had it cold and High Fly went in and lost his momentum a bit. I'll have to watch the replay again because I was yelling at the TV. Maybe I'm wrong about that. :-)

I knew CA was much better than he looked on paper. He raced fairly close to a very hot pace in his last even though he was off it. So his speed figures were misrepresenting his true ability. He was an extremely clear cut second choice in there off my figures. That's where all the value was - on the winner.

I really shouldn't be too upset. It wasn't a large bet. It was very small because I was only in the exacta pools. It was a last minute "hey wait a minute these odds are wrong I have to put something through the windows bet". I didn't even look at the race until after the Donn. Otherwise I would have discussed it in detail on the board this afternoon instead of writing a quick note a few minutes before postime.

It's just that I thought I was home at the 3/16s. That's why I was pissed.